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Thursday, November 20, 2008--Andis Kaulins [11/20/2008 08:59:00 PM] - Home - About - Our Book

EQLS : Second European Quality of Life Survey – First Findings viz. Deuxième enquête européenne sur la qualité de vie - Premiers résultats 

Via EUobserver.com we have learned of the 2nd EQLS (European Quality of Life Survey) by Eurofound (European Foundation for the Improvement of Living and Working Conditions).

The EQLS Survey will be published in full only in the year 2009, but as of November 18, 2008 we do now already have the first results of that survey in an English-language .pdf and a French-language .pdf, respectively titled Second European Quality of Life Survey – First Findings viz. Deuxième enquête européenne sur la qualité de vie - Premiers résultats.

The results confirm the sentiment of the Bob Hope cinema film of the year 1965 whose title I'll take Sweden might just as well represent the primarily Nordic winners of this Eurofound survey, as the Nordic nations dominate in "happiness", as shown by the following graphics from the EQLS First Results:

EQLS Second European Quality Of Life Survey - First Results - Figures 1 and 2


The Life Satisfaction and Happiness Index for the European Union Member States and Candidate Countries gives the following rankings, from most happy and satisfied to least happy and least satisfied:

1. Denmark
2. Sweden
3. Finland
4. Norway
5. Netherlands
6. Luxembourg
7. Ireland
8. Malta
9. Belgium
10. United Kingdom
11. France
12. Spain
13. Germany
14. Cyprus
15. Poland
16. Austria
17. Slovakia
18. Estonia
19. Czech Republic
20. Greece
21. Italy
22. Romania
23. Croatia
24. Lithuania
25. Portugal
26. Turkey
27. Latvia
28. Hungary
29. FYR Macedonia
30. Bulgaria

The First Findings of the Survey cover:

Life Satisfaction
- General parameters
- Optimism
- Subjective well-being

Income and Deprivation
- Household essentials and deprivation
- Dealing with lack of income

Family

Work-life balance

Health and health care
- Mental health
- Health care services

Housing, environment and quality of society
- Quality of housing
- Local environment

Quality of society
- Trust in other people and Institutions
- Tension between societal groups

Methodology"

For further information we refer to the contact data found at the end of the First Findings publication:

Teresa Renehan, Information Liaison Officer:
ter@eurofound.europa.eu
European Foundation for the Improvement of Living and Working
Conditions
Wyattville Road, Loughlinstown, Dublin 18, Ireland
Telephone: (+353 1) 204 31 00
Email: postmaster@eurofound.europa.eu
Website: http://www.eurofound.europa.eu



Andis Kaulins [11/20/2008 11:44:00 AM] - Home - About - Our Book

THE YPPSYS DIVISION I-A FBS COLLEGE FOOTBALL RATINGS for the 2008 SEASON : After the 12th WEEK of Play 

THE YPPSYS DIVISION I-A FBS COLLEGE FOOTBALL RATINGS for the 2008 SEASON
(after the 12th week of play)

THE YPPSYS DIVISION I-A FBS COLLEGE FOOTBALL RATINGS

(This is after the 12th week of play. NAYPPA (net average yards per play advantage) is calculated according to CFBSTATS.COM. Schedule Difficulty is the ranking according to Massey Ratings. One-tenth of the schedule ranking is substracted from the NAYPPA of Division I-A FBS schools. For Division I-AA FCS the multiple is .15. For Division II and Division II schools the multiple is .20. Note that if a team allows 5 or more yards per play on defense an additional .1 is substracted from the rating; if 6 yards per play or more are allowed,then .2 is subtracted. MOV means margin of victory ranking according to the Massey Ratings, but we do not use it here in the calculations.


TEAM

NAYPPA

SCH
x 1/10
substract
from
NAYPPA

W-L
.2 per loss

substract
from
NAYPPA

MOV
(just
for
fun)

YPPSYS
Rating

YPPSYS
Div. I-A
FBS
Ranking

USC

3.2

30

9-1

5

2.7

1

Florida

2.5

4

9-1

4

2.3

2

Boise State

2.3

108

10-0

9

1.2

7

Penn State

2.3

71

10-1

6

1.4

5

Texas Tech

2.3

25

10-0

1

1.9

3

Missouri

2.1

37

9-2

11

1.2

6

Oklahoma

2.1

26

9-1

5

1.6

4

Ball State

1.9

121

10-0

13

0.5

13

Oklahoma St.

1.9

31

9-2

7

1.1

9

Tulsa

1.8

114

8-2

49

0.1

20

Georgia

1.7

6

9-2

4

1.1

8

Houston

1.6

106

6-4

60

-0.4

34

Alabama

1.5

51

11-0

8

1.0

10

TCU

1.5

65

9-2

15

0.4

15

Georgia Tech

1.4

39

7-3

37

0.4

14

Oregon

1.4

64

8-3

22

0.2

18

BYU

1.3

84

10-1

19

0.2

19

Florida St.

1.3

45

7-3

32

0.2

17

Iowa

1.3

53

7-4

24

0.0

23

Nevada

1.2

74

6-4

58

-0.4

33

Texas

1.2

1

10-1

2

0.9

11

Troy

1.2

113

6-4

73

-0.7

41

Utah

1.2

67

11-0

12

0.5

12

Illinois

1.1

57

5-6

56

-0.8

43

Oregon St.

1.1

23

7-3

16

0.3

16

W. Virginia

1.1

55

6-3

38

-0.1

28

California

1.0

18

6-4

30

0.0

21

Mississippi

1.0

21

6-4

28

-0.1

25

South Florida

1.0

72

6-4

65

-0.5

35

Arizona

0.9

83

6-4

45

-0.7

40

Cincinnati

0.9

69

8-2

20

-0.2

31

Clemson

0.9

17

5-5

54

-0.3

32

Ohio State

0.9

48

9-2

10

0.0

22

Arkansas St.

0.8

117

4-5

110

-1.5

59

Nebraska

0.8

9

7-4

18

-0.2

29

LSU

0.7

22

7-3

25

-0.1

26

West. Michigan

0.7

112

9-2

31

-0.9

46

Baylor

0.6

15

4-7

62

-1.1

49

Connecticut

0.6

58

7-3

33

-0.6

36

Florida Atlantic

0.6

105

5-5

101

-1.6

62

Miami of Florida

0.6

16

7-3

23

-0.2

30

North Carolina

0.6

7

7-3

21

-0.1

24

Louis.-Lafayette

0.6

118

5-5

100

-1.8

67

Wisconsin

0.6

34

6-5

40

-0.9

44

Notre Dame

0.5

50

6-5

50

-0.1

27

Kansas

0.4

19

6-5

39

-0.9

45

Maryland

0.4

36

7-3

41

-0.7

38

Pittsburgh

0.4

59

7-2

27

-0.7

39

Akron

0.3

89

5-5

81

-1.7

65

Arizona State

0.3

54

4-6

78

-1.4

54

Boston College

0.3

49

7-3

26

-0.8

42

Fresno State

0.3

86

6-4

77

-1.5

58

Louisville

0.3

79

5-5

94

-1.6

61

Northern Illinois

0.3

109

5-5

83

-1.9

70

Tennessee

0.3

28

3-7

104

-1.4

53

Air Force

0.3

73

8-3

48

-1.0

48

South Carolina

0.2

12

7-4

29

-0.7

37

Bowling Green

0.1

101

5-5

80

-2.0

72

Michigan State

0.1

56

9-2

17

-1.0

47

Ohio

0.1

98

2-8

133

-2.6

91

East Carolina

0.0

77

6-4

68

-1.7

64

Kent State

0.0

119

3-7

121

-2.7

98

Northwestern

0.0

70

8-3

35

-1.3

51

Rutgers

0.0

41

5-5

47

-1.5

57

Southern Miss

0.0

91

5-6

85

-2.2

79

New Mexico

-0.1

52

4-8

107

-2.2

76

Rice

-0.1

94

7-3

55

-1.8

66

Stanford

-0.1

46

5-6

63

-1.9

69

Navy

-0.1

68

6-4

53

-1.7

63

Auburn

-0.2

66

5-6

79

-2.1

73

New Mexico St.

-0.2

96

3-7

136

-2.7

96

Toledo

-0.2

76

2-8

128

-2.7

94

Wyoming

-0.2

78

4-7

119

-2.4

86

Arkansas

-0.3

11

4-6

69

-1.6

60

Louisiana Tech

-0.3

88

6-4

82

-2.1

74

Marshall

-0.3

99

4-6

111

-2.6

92

San Jose State

-0.3

87

6-5

95

-2.2

78

Florida Int'l

-0.4

103

4-5

103

-2.5

88

Hawaii

-0.4

35

5-5

74

-1.9

68

Indiana

-0.4

62

3-8

118

-2.7

93

Kansas State

-0.4

33

4-7

84

-2.3

82

Memphis

-0.4

111

5-5

105

-2.7

97

Purdue

-0.4

24

3-8

91

-2.3

81

Virginia Tech

-0.4

13

6-4

36

-1.4

52

Virginia

-0.4

2

5-5

51

-1.5

55

Wake Forest

-0.4

5

6-4

42

-1.3

50

Buffalo

-0.5

81

6-4

57

-2.3

83

Cent. Michigan

-0.5

97

8-2

44

-2.1

75

Kentucky

-0.5

44

6-5

61

-2.0

71

Minnesota

-0.5

75

7-4

52

-2.2

77

Mississippi St.

-0.5

47

3-7

109

-2.4

85

Temple

-0.5

80

3-7

99

-2.8

101

Vanderbilt

-0.5

14

6-4

43

-1.5

56

Michigan

-0.6

32

3-8

92

-2.6

90

UTEP

-0.6

92

5-5

88

-2.7

95

Army

-0.6

95

3-7

122

-3.1

105

Colorado State

-0.7

38

5-6

86

-2.5
87

Mid. Tennessee

-0.7

104

4-6

114

-3.0

104

West. Kentucky

-0.7

110

2-9

185

-3.7
110

Tulane

-0.8

90

2-8

163

-3.5

108

UCLA

-0.9

63

4-6

93

-2.8

100

Utah State

-0.9

29

2-9

134

-3.2

106

Duke

-1.0

3

4-6

71

-2.3

80

East. Michigan

-1.0

100

2-8

146

-2.9

103

UNLV

-1.0

40

5-6

87

-2.8

99

N. C. State

-1.0

10

4-6

75

-2.4

84

SMU

-1.0

82

1-10

172

-4.0

113

Texas A&M

-1.0

27

4-7

89

-2.9

102

Colorado

-1.1

20

5-6

76

-2.6

89

UCF

-1.2

85

3-7

117

-3.5

107

Miami of Ohio

-1.2

93

2-8

141

-3.8
111

Louis.-Monroe

-1.3

120

3-8

148

-4.3
116

UAB

-1.4

116

3-7

137

-4.3

115

Iowa State

-1.4

61

2-9

126

-4.0

112

Syracuse

-1.4

43

2-8

135

-3.6

109

San Diego State

-1.5

60

1-10

171

-4.3

114

Idaho

-1.7

102

2-9

178

-4.7

117

North Texas

-2.2

107

1-9

198

-5.4

119

Washington

-2.5

8

0-10

169

-4.8

118

Washington St.

-3.0

42

1-10

174

-5.6

120








Other Divisions
(selected teams)


x 1.5/10





James Madison

1.5

115

9-1

34
-0.4


Appalachian St.

1.9

127

9-2

70
-0.5


Weber State

1.9

139

9-2

64
-0.7


Villanova

0.5

124

8-2

72

-1.8


Richmond

1.6

126

8-3

67

-0.9


Wofford

1.9

132

8-2

96
-0.6


Montana

0.9

148

10-1

59

-1.6




x 2/10





Abil. Christian

4.0 (!)

190

10-0

46

0.2

!
Grand Valley St.

2.8

259

10-0

116

-2.4


North Alabama

2.5

285

10-1

138

-3.4


Valdosta State

1.7

278

9-2

184

-4.3


NW Missouri St.

2.2

198

10-1

108

-2.0


Mount Union
(Division III)

5.2 (!)

387

10-0

106

-2.5

!



Andis Kaulins [11/20/2008 02:47:00 AM] - Home - About - Our Book

Photo Blog of the World 

We have started a new photo blog at Photo Blog of the World.



Andis Kaulins [11/20/2008 12:52:00 AM] - Home - About - Our Book

Brackets NCAA Football Championship Playoffs 2008 : Division II - D2 and Division III - D3 

Playoff brackets for NCAA Football Playoffs in 2008 for Division II (D2) and Division III (D3) are found at the following links:

Division II - D2

Division III - D3



Tuesday, November 18, 2008--Andis Kaulins [11/18/2008 01:20:00 PM] - Home - About - Our Book

YPPSYS College Football Game Predictions and Results - 2008 Season - Week 13 - Week and Weekend of Saturday, November 22, 2008 

There is no way that Alabama should be ranked Number 1 this year. The pollsters are favoring a weak SEC whose Tennessee lost to Wyoming and whose LSU trailed Troy State 31-3 in the 3rd quarter. According to the Massey Ratings, the Crimson Tide has played only the 51st hardest schedule in Division I-A FBS football and according to Sagarin the 72nd hardest schedule. In spite of that, their net yards per play average is substantially below figures achieved by teams that have played a much tougher schedule. A team like Texas for example, who Massey ranks as having played the toughest schedule in the country this year thus far, has played four top 10 teams and beaten three. Alabama has yet to play a top ten team this year. That they have improved over last year's 7-6 record (no game was lost by more than one TD) is clear, but that they are really not the best team in the country is not in doubt in this quarter, and there are easily 5 or 6 teams in the nation that would be favored against them in direct competition, especially because the Alabama offense is nothing to shout about. Indeed, there is little doubt that Florida will be favored against them in the SEC championship game. If Alabama ever falls behind in the score against a good offensive ball club like Florida, it will probably be over except for the shouting. The trouble is, if Florida beats the Crimson Tide in the SEC championship game, as they seem likely to do, Florida too will then be ranked Number 1 because of the SEC poll and ranking bias. In fact, the SEC ranks only 3rd this year in actual conference performance. Indeed, by pure points, the Big 12 has 4 teams in the top 10 and 5 total in the top 20 whereas the SEC has but 1 team in the top 10 and 2 total in the top 20 this year. How then can Alabama be rated Number One? Frankly, we do not understand it.

Last week we went 38-12 in calling the winner of the game and 27-21-2 against the point spread. Our record for the season is 557-175 in calling the winner and 256-240-7 against the spread. We are beating almost all systems listed at the College Football Prediction Tracker. Here are our predictions for the current week which has great matchups and several games in which we go directly against the point spread and even the pick of winner, using our YPPSYS (tm) system.

YPPSYS (tm) College Football Game Predictions and Results - 2008 Season - Week 13 - Week and Weekend of Saturday, November 22, 2008. Odds are taken from the 10:41 A.M. version of the College Football Prediction Tracker from Tuesday, November 18, 2008 (aside: Latvian Independenc